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3e. Real portfolios are lopsided — and that changes the answer

From the Meridians Wiki · Public · Maintained · joint

Everything above prices a uniform constellation. Real ones aren't: a Director runs one or two hot Domains on a fast beat, several slow ones on weekly, and a Private Domain that crawls nothing. portfolioWeeklySpend costs each member at its own cycles, cadence, and breadth.

A realistic lopsided 6-Domain constellation (1 hourly/broad, 2 daily, 2 weekly, 1 private):

Member$/wkShareArticles/wk
Supply — Fabs (hourly, broad, 4 terms)$8.6474.1%5,600
Demand — Compute (daily)$0.998.5%400
Silicon Competition (daily)$0.847.2%300
Policy — Export (weekly)$0.423.6%30
Power buildout (weekly)$0.423.6%30
My Strategy (private, no crawl)$0.342.9%0
Total$11.666,360

One member is three-quarters of the bill. And the same six Domains cost $5.04/wk uniform vs $11.66/wk lopsided — a 2.3× spread from shape alone. So:

Domain count is a poor cost predictor. The distribution of cadence × breadth across members is the whole story. Any per-seat pricing or in-product estimate that reasons from "how many domains" will misprice by >2× in both directions.

The product consequence is that the Operations surface should lead with concentration"one loop is 74% of your spend" — rather than a portfolio average. That single sentence is more actionable than any total, and it points at the one lever worth pulling.

The Firecrawl plan cliff — and it lands on the default constellation size

Credits are bought in monthly blocks, so cost steps rather than slopes:

Domains (uniform default)$/wkCredits/moPlan neededPlan $/moUtilisation
1$0.851,560Hobby$1631%
3$2.524,680Hobby$1694% ⚠️
6$5.049,360Standard$839%
10$8.3915,600Standard$8316%
20$16.7831,200Standard$8331%

A default 3-Domain constellation sits at 94% of the Hobby allowance. The fourth Domain — or one step from steady to broad — forces Standard: $16 → $83/mo, a 5× jump for a ~33% workload increase. That cliff lands exactly on the shape onboarding produces by default, which makes it a product problem, not a footnote:

  • Warn before the step, in the breadth/cadence picker — "this widens you past the Hobby allowance" — since the marginal Domain looks cheap ($0.84/wk) while actually costing $67/mo in plan step.
  • Beyond the step there is enormous headroom. Standard covers 20+ Domains at 31% utilisation, so the honest advice above 4 Domains is "grow freely, you've already paid for it."
  • Self-hosting Firecrawl (AGPL) removes the ladder entirely and is the right answer for a heavy Director.